Macro Markets

在CPI和美联储证词前，交易者可以用FedWatch概率变化规划股指、国债和美元风险，但不要把概率当确定性。

Ahead of CPI and Fed testimony, traders can use FedWatch shifts to plan index, Treasury and dollar risk without confusing probability with certainty.

黄金跌破4000美元、通胀数据临近与加息讨论升温，使CPI周的美元、收益率和连续交易风险重新成为重点。

Gold’s drop below $4,000 and renewed Fed-hike discussion put CPI week, dollar strength and 24/7 futures access back on the trader checklist.

芯片股拖累纳斯达克，油价和美债收益率同步上行。股票交易者本周需要把业绩动能、估值压力和拥挤交易分开看。

Chip stocks led the Nasdaq lower while oil and Treasury yields rose. For stock traders, this is a week to separate earnings momentum from macro discount-rate pressure.

油价、收益率和美股波动同时升温时，比特币不能只看一个现货价格。交易者更需要关注期货基差、期权到期、保证金缓冲和强平风险。

Bitcoin held near the low-$60,000 area while oil, yields and equity volatility moved together. Traders should watch regulated futures, options dates and liquidation buffers instead of reading one crypto price tick in isolation.

原油上冲、股指期货回落，让本周更适合做情景预案，而不是押单边宏观判断。

A jump in crude and a dip in stock-index futures make this a week for scenario planning, not one-way macro conviction.