Macro Markets
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CPI周前，用FedWatch和美债收益率先画风险地图
在美债收益率走强、通胀数据临近的背景下，股指期货交易者应先理解利率预期，再追逐权益市场动能。
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Use FedWatch and Treasury yields as a risk map before CPI week
With Treasury yields firm and inflation data ahead, index futures traders should map rate expectations before chasing equity momentum.
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财报与通胀数据密集周，股指期货进入跳空风险模式
大型银行、台积电、CPI 与 PPI 等事件集中到来，标普 500 与纳指期货交易者需要把隔夜消息风险和普通盘中动量区分开。
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Earnings week turns index futures into a gap-risk market
With major banks, TSMC, CPI and PPI on the calendar, S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures traders should separate overnight headline risk from normal intraday momentum.
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黄金期货提醒交易者：地缘风险不等于避险资产必涨
黄金在地缘风险仍高的背景下回落，说明美元走强和美债收益率上行有时会压过简单的避险叙事。
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Gold futures show why traders must separate war headlines from rate pressure
Gold slipped even as geopolitical risk stayed elevated, a reminder that dollar strength and Treasury yields can overpower simple safe-haven narratives.
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纳指期货把 AI 交易压缩成一个风险开关
NQ 期货可以表达或对冲 AI 股票敞口，但 CPI、收益率和估值预期会快速改变交易环境。
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Nasdaq futures compress the AI trade into one risk switch
NQ futures give traders a liquid way to express or hedge AI-stock exposure, but CPI and yields can quickly change the setup.
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比特币期货基差是信号，不是无风险收益
日历价差和基差交易可以反映机构需求，但价差不是保证收益，也可能向不利方向变化。
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Bitcoin futures basis is a signal, not free yield
Calendar spreads and basis trades can show institutional demand, but the spread is not a guaranteed return and can move against traders.
