event contracts
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Kalshi’s CFTC clash shows prediction-market traders must price settlement certainty
The latest Kalshi order is a reminder that event-contract risk is not only about being right on the event outcome.
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Polymarket margin plans would change the event-trading risk map
A move from fully funded event bets toward margin would make collateral, liquidation and rulebook approval central to prediction-market risk management.
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Coinbase prediction-market outage is a reminder to trade platform risk first
Coinbase restored prediction-market trading after a brief issue, but the lesson for traders is broader: event contracts add platform, liquidity and settlement risks on top of market direction.